* NZ inflation higher than forecast in Q4
* Markets see 50-50 chance of rate hike next week by RBNZ
* Aussie remains near 3-1/2-yr lows vs USD
By Gyles Beckford and Cecile Lefort
SYDNEY/WELLINGTON, Jan 21 (Reuters) - The New Zealand dollar jumped on Tuesday after an unexpected rise in inflation stoked speculation that interest rates could rise as soon as next week.
In contrast, the Australian dollar was subdued at $0.8817
The kiwi
The outcome added to the case for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to lift rates at its policy review on Jan. 30.
"Yesterday we would have said there was a low chance of January being the start date, today the chances are considerably higher," said Westpac senior strategist Imre Speizer.
Bond futures
"I expect this rise will be sustained over the next 24 hours and the offshore markets will react in the same way and further," added Speizer.
New Zealand government bonds
Near term support for the kiwi was seen at $0.8275, with offers likely to emerge towards $0.8400.
A recent Reuters poll showed 14 of 17 economists expect a rate rise in the first quarter of this year, a move that would make New Zealand the first developed economy to tighten in the current cycle.
The RBNZ signaled last year it was likely to start raising rates by the middle of this year, as a strongly performing economy ramps up inflation pressures. It said the speed and extent of rate rises would depend on the impact of higher house prices and construction costs.
The increasingly diverging interest rate outlook between New Zealand and Australia weighed on the Aussie currency against its neighbour. The Aussie pulled closer to 8-year lows to last trade at $1.0575
The Aussie has been pressured across the board after a disappointing job report last week revived speculation about another cut in interest rates by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
Interbank futures
Australian government bond futures pulled back from multi-month highs with the three-year bond contract
(Editing by Shri Navaratnam)
((Cecile.Lefort@thomsonreuters.com)(+61 2 9373-1234)(Reuters Messaging: cecile.lefort.thomsonreuters@reuters.net))
Keywords: MARKETS AUSTRALIA/FOREX