GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks, dollar rally on hopes for global growth

Wed, 15 Jan - 7:46pm

* Perky start for European share markets, Dax jumps

* Risk sentiment soothed as solid US retail data lifts Wall St

* World Bank upgrades outlook; China data misses forecasts

* Dollar extends gains on yen and euro

By Marc Jones

LONDON, Jan 15 (Reuters) - Share markets were mostly higher on Wednesday as the World Bank upgraded its outlook for the global economy, while the dollar extended gains in the wake of surprisingly strong U.S. consumer spending figures.

European stocks .FTEU3 started with a spring in their step too, as confirmation that Germany saw robust growth last year prompted the biggest rise of the year so far for Frankfurt's DAX

.GDAXI . News Search ID:nL5N0IS4TM

The German benchmark's near 1 percent gain was complimented by smaller but still significant gains on bourses elsewhere in the region, taking the FTSEurofirst 300 index .FTEU3 to a fresh 5-1/2 year high. Href="NewsSearch">.EU

"German consumption turned out to be especially robust last year," said Dekabank economist Andreas Scheuerle. "With the shackles of the sovereign debt crisis being loosened, this year should lead to considerably stronger growth."

Helping the better mood overall, the World Bank upgraded its forecast for global growth this year by two tenths of a point to 3.2 percent, and predicted a faster pace for both 2015 and 2016.

News Search ID:nW1N0IP02J

While the bank trimmed forecasts for some developing nations, including China, growth in emerging markets as a whole was seen accelerating to 5.3 percent this year.

Data from China on Wednesday showed new bank lending and money supply growth missed forecasts for December, suggesting the central bank's efforts to put the brakes on credit expansion to contain debt levels is gaining traction. News Search ID:nL3N0KP19Q

Shares in Shanghai dipped 0.4 percent .SSEC , but there was little obvious impact elsewhere in the region.

"The performance of advanced economies is gaining momentum, and this should support stronger growth in developing countries in the months ahead," said World Bank chief Jim Yong Kim.

U.S. CONSUMPTION ON THE UP

The dollar .DXY was also back in vogue. It extended its rally to 104.35 yen JPY= , leaving behind Tuesday's trough of 103.00. It also firmed against the euro, which was last worth $1.3611 EUR= and was also weaker against the yen at 142.03 yen

EURJPY= .

The U.S. currency had sprung ahead on Tuesday after retail data soothed worries raised by last week's disappointing payrolls report. While the headline measure of retail sales rose only a modest 0.2 percent, a core measure favoured by analysts beat all expectations with a jump of 0.7 percent.

"Growth in final sales, particularly household consumption, appears to have picked up sharply in Q4," said Barclays economist Peter Newland. The bank lifted its forecasts for economic growth in the quarter to an annualised 3.5 percent.

That, combined with a burst of merger activity and earnings beats by Wells Fargo WFC.N and JPMorgan JPM.N , helped lift the Dow .DJI 0.71 percent. The S&P 500 .SPX added 1.08 percent and the tech-laden Nasdaq .IXIC jumped 1.69 percent.

Futures prices ESc1 pointed to some additional ground being made when Wall Street reopens, though with another flurry of earnings due, plus the NY Empire manufacturing survey and December PPI data on tap, moves were set to be cautious.

CHOPPY MOVES

The better economic news left 10-year U.S. Treasury yields up 5 basis points at 2.87 percent, while Germany's growth also inched up Bund yields. Href="NewsSearch">GVD/EUR

Price moves have been choppy recently as the market tries to second-guess the speed of tapering by the Federal Reserve, and when it might actually start raising interest rates.

Two of the most hawkish Fed officials, Dallas Fed chief Richard Fisher and Charles Plosser at the Philadelphia Fed, on Tuesday advocated pushing on with tapering. News Search ID:nL2N0KO1VV

The more dovish head of the Chicago Fed, Charles Evans, will take his turn to speak later on Wednesday.

A pullback in the yen was welcomed by the Japanese market, with the Nikkei .N225 bouncing 2.2 percent after suffering its sharpest daily drop in five months on Tuesday.

Progress elsewhere in Asia was patchy, with investors suffering whiplash after several days of wild swings. Singapore

.FTSTI added 0.6 percent as did Taiwan .TWII , but MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS eked out just 0.1 percent.

In commodity markets, a firmer dollar and rising equities shoved gold back to $1,237 an ounce XAU= , off a high of 1,255.00 hit Tuesday.

Oil prices were softer after a mixed performance overnight. U.S. crude CLc1 dipped 8 cents to $92.51 a barrel, while Brent

LCOc1 eased 17 cents to $106.22.

(Additional reporting by Wayne Cole in Sydney; Editing by Catherine Evans)

((marc.jones@thomsonreuters.com)(+44)(0)(207 542 9033)(Reuters Messaging: marc.jones.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))

 
((To read Reuters Global Investing Blog click on  
http://blogs.reuters.com/globalinvesting;  
for the Macro Scope Blog click on  
http://blogs.reuters.com/macroscope;  
for Hedge Fund Blog Hub  
click on http://blogs.reuters.com/hedgehub) 
((For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on:   ))

Keywords: MARKETS GLOBAL/

URN: 
urn:newsml:reuters.com:20140115:nL5N0KP1CE:4
Topics: 
CRU HK INDS ENR METL RTRS INDG GOL FIN FED INSR CYCP US CYCS STX AU CELE EU COM MKTREP FRX ELC PREMTL MCE WEU ASEAN TW NRG AMERS JP ELCO MTGFX REP HSGD MACH ECB INS CDM APL ECI MUL GVD EUROPE KR SG FINS EUROP EMRG ASIA PINS DBT LEN NEWS1 CEN CN

Contact Us

Due to the security nature of our business, personal meetings are only by pre-arranged appointment.
Phone at any time on

1300 987 995

info@ausmint.com