FOREX-Hawkish policy stance lifts Australian dollar

Wed, 05 Feb - 7:47am
    * Aussie gains over 2 percent on U.S. dollar after RBA drops 
easing bias 
    * Kiwi climbs over 1 percent versus greenback 
    * Dollar gains on euro and yen 
    * Selling of yen by Japanese banks supports dollar/yen 
-trader 
 
 (Updates with late New York prices) 
    By Daniel Bases 
    NEW YORK, Feb 4 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar    
rose more than 2 percent on Tuesday after the country's central 
bank dropped its easing bias toward interest rates and toned 
down its long-term call for the currency to weaken. 
    The U.S. dollar and euro gained back some ground against the 
yen but were firmly in recent ranges, reflecting the drop in 
volatility that accompanied the flood of money out of emerging 
economies in search of traditional safe havens in the developed 
world. 
    "Most of the market was short Aussie and Kiwi into last 
night. The RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) surprised them 
hawkishly. The fact that the world is not going to end, even if 
China slows down according to the RBA has taken somewhat the 
boot off of the neck of risk," said Lane Newman, director of 
foreign exchange at ING Capital Markets in New York. 
    The Aussie has fallen by almost a fifth in the past 12 
months as a commodities boom expired, growth in China began to 
slow and the central bank campaigned for a weaker currency to 
help stir economic growth.    
    Against the U.S. dollar the Aussie was up 2.17 percent at   
US$0.8937. The New Zealand dollar accelerated its rise against 
the greenback in late New York trade, to gain 1.58 percent on 
the day, to US$0.8210.    
    There had already been signs of a turnaround in the Aussie's 
performance against the New Zealand dollar in the past week. A 
favorite trade for hedge funds late last year, the kiwi gained 
9.5 percent against the Aussie between October and Jan. 24. 
Since then the Aussie has reclaimed around 3 percent. 
   
    While the New Zealand economy continues to do better than 
its Australian counterpart, analysts say a full percentage point 
of rate hikes are now fully priced in, leaving room for some 
pull back. 
    The euro dropped below $1.35 against the dollar, revisiting 
Monday's two-month low of $1.3475    before cutting the 
majority of its losses. 
    "Part of the reason why the euro is not really participating 
in the moves today where the dollar is weaker, has to do with 
this fear the ECB (European Central Bank) is going to ease 
policy again on Thursday," said Jens Nordvig, head of G10 FX 
strategy at Nomura Securities in New York. 
    Ahead of the ECB's meeting, the euro traded down 0.07 
percent to $1.3515. 
    "I think there are reasons why they should do it but I am 
not convinced that they will," Nordvig said. 
     
    YEN DIP 
    The Aussie's jump came as the yen eased back from a 
two-month high versus the U.S. dollar, though its losses were 
tempered by fragile sentiment after a disappointing reading on 
U.S. factory activity stirred concerns about the growth outlook. 
    A stronger start for U.S. equities that appeared to break 
the downward spiral of global markets for the past several days 
is helping bolster the greenback as safe-haven risk ebbs ever so 
slightly.    
    The U.S. dollar was up 0.65 percent at 101.64 yen   , 
staying above Monday's low of 100.77 yen, its lowest level 
against the Japanese currency since Nov. 21. 
    Yen-selling flows from Japanese banks helped lend support to 
the dollar, said a trader for a European bank in Tokyo. A 
Singapore-based trader cited dollar-buying by Japanese 
importers. 
    The yen, a big loser against the dollar in the past year, 
has seen a turnaround in the past week on the back of the 
sell-off in emerging markets. The dollar hit a peak of 105.40 
yen in January. 
    Many analysts believe the flow of money out of the 
developing world will continue as the U.S. Federal Reserve 
proceeds with reductions in its bond-buying stimulus. 
    A mixed report on U.S. factory orders, where new orders fell 
in December but rose for a third straight month when the 
volatile transportation sector was excluded, tempered Monday's 
poor reading on U.S. manufacturing.    
    The euro gained 0.6 percent against the Japanese currency at 
137.32 yen, having earlier touched a better-than two month low 
of 136.20. 
 
 (Additional reporting by Masayuki Kitano, Ian Chua and Patrick 
Graham; Editing by Pravin Char, Chris Reese and Tom Brown) 
 ((daniel.bases@thomsonreuters.com)(+1 646 223 6131)(Reuters 
Messaging: daniel.bases.reuters.com@reuters.net)) 
 
 
((Currency bid prices at 04:11PM (2111 GMT) 
Description    RIC    Last    U.S. Close 
 Previous  
 Session    Pct Change    YTD Pct 
 Change    High Bid    Low Bid 
Euro/Dollar    EUR=    $1.3514    $1.3524    -0.07%    -1.68%    +1.3538    +1.3494 
Dollar/Yen    JPY=    101.6100    100.9700    +0.63%    -3.37%    +101.6700    +100.7700 
Euro/Yen    EURJPY=    137.33    136.55    +0.57%    -5.37%    +137.4400    +136.2500 
Dollar/Swiss    CHF=    0.9042    0.9007    +0.39%    +1.28%    +0.9061    +0.9009 
Sterling/Dollar    GBP=    1.6325    1.6304    +0.13%    -1.40%    +1.6344    +1.6259 
Dollar/Canadian    CAD=    1.1082    1.1116    -0.31%    +4.35%    +1.1123    +1.1048 
Australian/Dollar    AUD=    0.8933    0.8747    +2.13%    +0.22%    +0.8941    +0.8732 
Euro/Swiss    EURCHF=    1.2220    1.2181    +0.32%    -0.42%    +1.2232    +1.2187 
Euro/Sterling    EURGBP=     0.8278    0.8293    -0.18%    -0.23%    +0.8325    +0.8264 
NZ Dollar/DollAuddar    NZD=    0.8212    0.8081    +1.62%    +0.07%    +0.8225    +0.8052 
Dollar/Norway    NOK=    6.2870    6.2826    +0.07%    +3.64%    +6.3132    +6.2740 
Euro/Norway    EURNOK=    8.4960    8.4999    -0.05%    +1.89%    +8.5262    +8.4880 
Dollar/Sweden    SEK=    6.5207    6.5450    -0.44%    +1.53%    +6.5585    +6.5155 
Euro/Sweden    EURSEK=    8.8135    8.8528    -0.44%    -0.59%    +8.8615    +8.8072 
     
     
All spots FX=  
Tokyo spots AFX=  
Europe spots EFX=  
Volatilities FXVOL=  
Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX World central bank news CEN 
Economic Forecasts... ECON   Official rates...INT/RATE 
Forex Diary.......MI/DIARY   Top events........M/DIARY 
Diaries...........DIARY Diaries Index........IND/DIARY 
Press Digests.....PRESS Polls on G7 economies..SURVEY/ 
European markets......MARKETS/)))) 
 
Keywords: MARKETS FOREX/  
     
URN: 
urn:newsml:reuters.com:20140204:nL2N0L91WG:3
Topics: 
JP US NZ AU MKTREP FRX ASIA EZ REP LEN EUR RTRS CEN PLCY MCE AMERS

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