Fitch Rates Australia's Emeco 'B+'/Stable <Origin Href="QuoteRef">EHL.AX</Origin>

Fri, 28 Feb - 9:49am
(The following statement was released by the rating agency)

SINGAPORE/SYDNEY, February 27 (Fitch) Fitch Ratings has assigned Emeco Holdings 
Limited (Emeco), an independent mining equipment rental business, a Long-Term 
Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) of 'B+'. The Outlook is Stable. 
Fitch has also assigned expected ratings of Emeco Pty Ltd's proposed USD360m 
senior secured notes due 2019 at 'BB-(EXP)', with a Recovery Rating of 'RR3'. 

The final ratings are contingent upon receipt of documents conforming to 
information already received by Fitch. Emeco Pty Ltd is a wholly owned 
subsidiary of Emeco.

The notes are secured by the assets of the Emeco Group, and guaranteed by Emeco 
and some of its subsidiaries. Proceeds from the proposed notes will largely be 
used to refinance existing debt of about AUD350m. The expected 'RR3' recovery 
rating assigned to the notes reflects our expectation of at least a 51% value 
recovery for the note holders in the event of default, based on the agency's 
assessment of the liquidation value of Emeco's rental fleet and other assets in 
a stressed scenario. As a result, under our recovery rating methodology, the 
notes are rated one notch above the IDR.

Emeco's ratings reflect its earnings' high sensitivity to commodity cycles due 
to its position as a rented equipment supplier to mining companies. The ratings 
also take into account Emeco's low operating leverage, Fitch's expectation of an 
improvement in Emeco's financial profile, and its flexibility in managing capex, 
which allows it to preserve operating cash flows during industry downturns. 

KEY RATING DRIVERS

High Cyclicality: Emeco's focus on mine production provides more stable revenues 
compared to exploration and new mine development, although the ability of mining 
counterparties to cancel contracts, typically between 30 to 180 days, brings 
with it volatility and asset underutilization. This explains Emeco's 30% drop in 
EBITDA in the financial year ended June 2013 (FY13), and our expectation of a 
further 50% drop in EBITDA in FY14. 

Rental Fleet Utilization to Improve: Emeco's overall utilization has trended 
downwards since early 2012, driven by weak volumes in its Australian coal 
business. Coal miners have been reducing overburden removal volumes in response 
to weak global coal prices. Fitch does not expect this trend to continue and 
expects the utilization rates of Emeco's assets to improve - Emeco's Australian 
business is already showing signs of picking up. It has secured new contracts 
which should help increase its utilisation rates in Australia to about 50% in 
June 2014, up from 40% in the six months to 31 December 2013.

Diversification: In FY13, 61% of revenue was generated in Australia, with coal 
(both thermal and metallurgical) making up 42% of revenue. Earnings derived from 
Australia are volatile due to the generally high cost of Australian thermal coal 
on a global scale. Coal production has remained buoyant, although coal 
producers' response to weak commodity prices has been to optimize productivity 
and reduce costs by lowering strip ratios, by mining in areas that require less 
removal of overburden. However, Emeco's geographical diversification has helped 
it redeploy its fleet of 700-odd vehicles among different industries and 
regions, which underpins its ability to optimize rental fleet utilization.

High Quality Fleet: Emeco's strategy of disposing most of its equipment about 
halfway through expected lifespans ensures it maintains a relatively young fleet 
with low operating hours, which is attractive to mining companies. This, coupled 
with the generic nature of most of its assets, aids in the resale of these 
assets. Over the past seven years, the company has disposed of between AUD20m to 
AUD50m of assets at generally above-depreciated value. The recurring nature of 
these cash inflows helps to mitigate the volatility in operating cash flows. 

Improving Financial Profile: Fitch expects Emeco to deleverage from FY14 
onwards, due to both improving utilization and a substantially curtailed 
expansionary capex spend. However, Emeco's leverage, as measured by net 
debt/EBITDA, is likely to deteriorate in FY14, compared to 2.4x in FY13, mainly 
due weak average utilization.

RATING SENSITIVITIES

Positive rating action is not envisaged in the medium term. A meaningful 
reduction in Emeco's portfolio risk profile, so that there is greater 
geographical and commodity diversification, would be necessary before any 
positive rating action was considered.

Negative: Future developments that may, individually or collectively lead to 
negative rating action include:

- A failure to reduce leverage as measured by net debt/EBITDA to below 3.0x by 
FY16

Contacts:

 

Primary Analyst

Shahim Zubair

Associate Director

+65 67967227

Fitch Ratings Singapore Pte Ltd, 

6 Temasek Boulevard

#35-05 Suntec Tower Four

Singapore 038986 

Secondary Analyst

Sajal Kishore

Director

+612 8256 0321

Committee Chairperson

Vicky Melbourne

Senior Director

+612 82560325

Applicable criteria, 'Corporate Rating Methodology: Including Short-Term Ratings 
and Parent and Subsidiary Linkage', dated 5 August 2013, is available at 
www.fitchratings.com.

Media Relations: Iselle Gonzalez, Sydney, Tel: +61 2 8256 0326, Email: 
iselle.gonzalez@fitchratings.com.

Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com

Applicable Criteria and Related Research: 

Corporate Rating Methodology: Including Short-Term Ratings and Parent and 
Subsidiary Linkage

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=715139

Additional Disclosure 

Solicitation Status 

http://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=821973

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Fitch Australia Pty Ltd holds an Australian financial services licence (AFS 
licence no. 337123) which authorises it to provide credit ratings to wholesale 
clients only. Credit ratings information published by Fitch is not intended to 
be used by persons who are retail clients within the meaning of the Corporations 
Act 2001.

URN: 
urn:newsml:reuters.com:20140227:nFit691425:3
Topics: 
AU OILQ CMPNY COM ENQ MINE ENR ASIA DBT LEN RTRS AAA CDM MIN BMAT COA ENEQ MTAL NRG MEMI ENER

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