Fitch Downgrades SP Ausnet to 'BBB+'; Off RWN, Stable Outlook <Origin Href="QuoteRef">SPN.AX</Origin>

Thu, 09 Jan - 7:12pm
(The following statement was released by the rating agency)

SINGAPORE/SYDNEY, January 09 (Fitch) Fitch Ratings has downgraded 
Australia-based SP Ausnet's Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'BBB+' from 
'A-'. The Rating Watch Negative (RWN) on all the ratings has been removed, and a 
Stable Outlook has been assigned to the Long-Term IDR. A full list of rating 
actions can be found at the end of this release. 

The rating actions follow the reduction of Singapore Power Ltd's (Singapore 
Power; A/RWP) stake in SP Ausnet with the sale of a 19.9% interest to State Grid 
International Development Limited (SGID), a wholly owned subsidiary of the State 
Grid Corporation of China (SGCC; A+/Stable) for AUD824m, which was completed on 
3 January 2014. The sale has reduced Singapore Power's stake in SP Ausnet to 
31.1% from 51%. SGID also purchased 60% of SPI (Australia) Assets Pty Ltd 
(SPIA), Singapore Power's wholly owned subsidiary that holds its Australian 
infrastructure and energy assets other than SP Ausnet. 

The downgrade results from the removal of the one-notch rating uplift previously 
accorded to the ratings of SP Ausnet on account of Singapore Power's majority 
51% ownership in SP Ausnet and the sizeable earnings contribution from SP Ausnet 
to Singapore Power. 

KEY RATING DRIVERS

Transparent and Mature Regulation: SP Ausnet's revised ratings continue to be 
supported by the regulated nature of its business (transmission, electricity and 
gas distribution), the staggered regulatory resets across its three network 
businesses in Victoria state, which reduces regulatory risk, and a transparent 
and mature regulatory environment under which it operates. The ratings also 
reflect the relatively good level of interest coverage (2.7x in FY13), which 
compares well with Australian utility peers rated in the high-BBB and low-A 
category levels. However, the company's leverage as measured by net debt to 
Regulatory Asset Base is expected to remain at around 70%, which is high 
relative to peers rated at the 'A-' level.   

Risk from Bushfire Compensation: Compensation issues resulting from the 2009 
Victorian bushfires could be a risk to SP AusNet's standalone credit profile 
over the medium term should the amount of compensation exceed that covered by 
the company's insurance, although we believe that SP AusNet's regulatory 
determination may mitigate these risks to some extent by allowing SP AusNet to 
pass through certain costs and damages in excess of insurance payouts. As it is 
not possible to determine the extent of the potential liability at present, we 
would treat any material adverse outcome as an event risk and take appropriate 
rating action at the time the damages crystallise.

Tax Dispute: A further potential risk over the medium term relates to primary 
tax liabilities for prior years under dispute with the Australian Taxation 
Office. As at 30 September 2013 SP Ausnet's net additional cash exposure is 
approximately AUD83m, although this amount is not significant considering the 
scale of SP Ausnet's earnings and its asset base. 

Potential Regulatory Changes: All regulated utilities in Australia - including 
SP AusNet - over the medium term are faced with proposed changes aimed at 
increasing the efficiency of the regulatory process. We expect the Australian 
Energy Regulator to have increased power in determining future regulatory 
outcomes, which could lead to a reduction in capital and operating expense 
allowances and the rate of return earned on the regulated assets by the 
utilities. These changes would apply to SP Ausnet's business in 2016, with the 
electricity distribution reset. 

Fitch rates SP AusNet's senior unsecured debt one notch higher than the IDR, 
reflecting the agency's view that recovery on the senior unsecured debt would be 
higher than average in the event of a default, given the regulated utility 
nature of the group's assets. 

RATING SENSITIVITIES 

Positive: While considered less likely due to significant capex over the medium 
term, future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to 
positive rating action include: 

- forecast net debt to Regulatory Asset Base at below 65% and funds from 
operations (FFO) interest coverage at above 2.75x, both on a sustained basis 
(69% and 2.7x respectively in FY13). 

Negative: Future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to 
negative rating action include: 

- forecast net debt to Regulatory Asset Base at above 75% and FFO interest 
coverage deteriorates at below 1.75x, both on a sustained basis 

The ratings actions are: 

SP AusNet: Long-Term IDR downgraded to 'BBB+', Outlook Stable

SPI PowerNet Pty Ltd: Long-Term IDR downgraded to 'BBB+', Outlook Stable 

SPI Electricity & Gas Australia Holdings Pty Ltd: Long-Term IDR downgraded to 
'BBB+', Outlook Stable; senior unsecured rating downgraded to 'A-' 

SPI Australia Holdings (Partnership) Limited Partnership: Long-Term Foreign 
Currency IDR downgraded to 'BBB+', Outlook Stable; senior unsecured rating 
downgraded to 'A-' 

SPI Electricity Pty Ltd: Long-Term Foreign Currency IDR downgraded to 'BBB+, 
Outlook Stable; senior unsecured rating downgraded to 'A-' 

SPI Australia Finance Pty Ltd: senior unsecured rating downgraded to 'A-' 

SP Ausnet's borrowings benefit from cross-guarantees by the principal 
asset-owning companies within the group. Hence, the agency also applies the IDR 
of SP Ausnet to the group companies listed above. 

Contacts: 

Primary Analyst

Isabelle Katsumata

Director

+65 67967226

Ftich Ratings Singapore Pte Ltd

6 Temasek Boulevard

#35-05 Suntec Tower Four

Singapore 038986 

Secondary Analyst 

Sajal Kishore

Director

+61 2 8256 0321 

Committee Chairperson

Buddhika Piyasena

Senior Director

+65 6796 7223

Media Relations: Iselle Gonzalez, Sydney, Tel: +61 2 8256 0326, Email: 
iselle.gonzalez@fitchratings.com; Leslie Tan, Singapore, Tel: +65 67 96 7234, 
Email: leslie.tan@fitchratings.com.

Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com. 

Applicable criteria, "Corporate Rating Methodology: Including Short-Term Ratings 
and Parent and Subsidiary Linkage", dated 5 August 2013 are available at 
www.fitchratings.com

Applicable Criteria and Related Research: 

Corporate Rating Methodology: Including Short-Term Ratings and Parent and 
Subsidiary Linkage

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=715139

Additional Disclosure 

Solicitation Status 

http://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=813871

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WEBSITE.

URN: 
urn:newsml:reuters.com:20140109:nFit682857:3
Topics: 
ELG DBT LEN RTRS AAA CDM ELEU AU CMPNY UTIL GASU ASIA

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