Fitch: Downer's Joint Venture Strategy Pays Off <Origin Href="QuoteRef">DOW.AX</Origin>

Tue, 04 Feb - 2:48pm
(The following statement was released by the rating agency)

SYDNEY, February 03 (Fitch) Fitch Ratings says that engineering services group 
Downer EDI Limited's (Downer, 'BBB'/Stable) results for the first half of the 
fiscal year ending June 2014 underscore the benefits of its strategy to bolster 
its competitive advantage via joint ventures. 

Downer's more diversified operations will support its rating in an environment 
of overcapacity and rising competition. Downer's 1HFY14 earnings mix indicates a 
shift away from cyclical earnings sources to more defensive sources as its 
customers in the resources sector increase insourcing and focus on cutting 
operating costs. In 1HFY12 less than 30% of group EBIT was attributed to Downer 
Infrastructure, but in 1HFY14 nearly half of group EBIT was derived from its 
infrastructure arm. The defensive nature of Downer's operating risk profile is 
highlighted by its ability to win, through its joint venture strategy, 
infrastructure projects in areas such as roading and road maintenance. It no 
longer relies mainly on competing in niche services such as electrical and 
instrumentation. 

Downer's stronger balance sheet is supportive of its ability to better manage 
its project risk. Falling resource-related capex, in particular the completion 
or near completion of major LNG projects on Australia's east coast, have led to 
surplus capacity in the engineering services industry. The overcapacity phase of 
the contracting cycle is usually when contractors are tempted to fill their 
project pipelines with risky revenue streams that may translate into future 
losses and cash leakages. Downer has addressed this industry trend by increasing 
efficiency gains, deleveraging its balance sheet and developing a strong 
cross-disciplinary risk management framework. 

Fitch expects Downer's margins to fall in 2015 amidst rising revenues, but for 
cash flow to rise. Cost reductions in the form of efficiency programs such as 
Fit 4 Business have contributed to the long-run drop in Downer's fixed cost 
base. However, the sharp half on half increase in statutory EBIT margin (1H14: 
4.25% ,1H13: 3.7%) is also the result of the near completion phase of major, by 
revenue, construction contracts such as the Waratah Train Project (WTP), and 
large scale mineral resources projects. These will only be replaced in FY15. 
Profit recognition for construction contracts is back-ended with profitable 
projects only recognised at cost in the initial stages. Moreover, a previously 
major revenue contributor, the WTP, has no associated profit attached and its 
near completion will eliminate its marginless revenue going forward. 

Contacts:

Johann Kenny, CFA

Director

+61 2 8256 0348

Fitch Australia Pty Ltd., Level 15, 77 King Street, Sydney NSW 2000

Vicky Melbourne

Senior Director

+61 2 8256 0325

Media Relations: Iselle Gonzalez, Sydney, Tel: +61 2 8256 0326, Email: 
iselle.gonzalez@fitchratings.com.

Additional information is available at www.fitchratings.com.

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licence no. 337123) which authorises it to provide credit ratings to wholesale 
clients only. Credit ratings information published by Fitch is not intended to 
be used by persons who are retail clients within the meaning of the Corporations 
Act 2001.

URN: 
urn:newsml:reuters.com:20140204:nFit689546:3
Topics: 
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