Fitch Affirms Australia's Telstra at 'A'/Stable <Origin Href="QuoteRef">TLS.AX</Origin>

Wed, 05 Mar - 2:57pm
(The following statement was released by the rating agency)

SYDNEY, March 04 (Fitch) Fitch Ratings has affirmed Telstra Corporation 
Limited's (Telstra) Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) and senior unsecured 
rating at 'A'. The Outlook on the IDR is Stable. The Short-Term IDR and the 
commercial paper rating have been affirmed at 'F1'.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

Market-Leading Position: Telstra's ratings reflect leading market share in the 
fixed-wire and wireless communication markets. It also reflects its superior 
coverage, the reliability and technology leadership of its wireless network, the 
coverage and capacity of its backhaul network, and its ownership of a material 
share of domestic mobile spectrum. A substantial rollout of its 4G network, 
covering 85% of Australia's population as at 31 December 2013, will continue to 
support its leadership in the mobile segment.

Sustainable Competitive Advantage: Telstra's strong free cash flows relative to 
competitors', enables it to sustain a competitive advantage and facilitate 
growth in mobile voice and broadband margins, while increasing mobile market 
share. The competitive nature of the Australian mobile telecommunications 
industry is unlikely to change in the near future, since its low population 
density and the lack of available spectrum deter potential new entrants.

Strong Profitability Maintained: The profitability of Telstra's individual 
segment margins continues to remain strong, benefitting from its multi-play 
offering of mobile, fixed voice, broadband, and pay-TV through its T-Box 
offering. Increased take-up of bundled services has improved margin in the fixed 
internet segment. Data-centric pricing and lower handset subsidies in the mobile 
segment have resulted in a resurgence of mobile margins. 

Low Risk from NBN Review: Telstra is well-positioned to deal with the likely 
outcomes from the government's current review of the National Broadband Network 
(NBN) policy. In the event that the NBN agreements are terminated, Telstra will 
continue to have a contractual right to receive infrastructure rental payments 
for equipment leased to NBN Co., and could resume its fixed-wire incumbency in 
areas not covered by the NBN network. 

Conservative Capital Management: Telstra has indicated that it intends to 
distribute surplus free cash flows that accumulate after setting aside funding 
for investment expenditure, future capital commitments and funding requirements 
to retain financial flexibility. Telstra announced a higher interim dividend per 
share of 14.5cents in 1H14 following a strong 1H14 performance, compared to 
14cents at FYE13. We expect Telstra to remain prudent in its approach to 
distributing surplus free cash flow from the NBN transaction to shareholders in 
future.

Lower Borrowing Costs: As Telstra's fixed rate borrowings mature, Fitch expects 
Telstra to continue to benefit from the relatively lower variable base rates. 
Telstra's cash borrowing costs decreased by AUD117m reflecting a lower average 
interest costs of 6.1% in 1H14 (1H13: 6.4%). The reduction is attributed to the 
fall in variable base interest rates in Australia, reflecting lower costs on 
floating debt portion, and from re-financings at lower rates.  

RATING SENSITIVITIES

Negative: Future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to 
negative rating action include:

- Funds flow from operations-adjusted net leverage rising above 1.75x on a 
sustained basis; 

- A material adverse change to the terms and conditions of the NBN agreements, 
although we do not consider it to be likely; 

- Negative free cash flow after dividends on a sustained basis.

Positive: Given sector-related risks, a rating upgrade is unlikely in the medium 
term.

Contacts:

Primary Analyst

Sajal Kishore

Director 

+61 2 8256 0321

Fitch Australia Pty Ltd., Level 15, 77 King Street, Sydney, NSW 2000

Secondary Analyst

Steve Durose

Senior Director 

+61 2 8256 0307

Committee Chairperson

Matt Jamieson

Senior Director 

+61 2 8256 0366

Applicable criteria, 'Corporate Rating Methodology: Including Short-Term Ratings 
and Parent and Subsidiary Linkage', dated 5 August 2013 are available at 
www.fitchratings.com.

Related Research: 

Rating Telecoms Companies - Sector Credit Factors, dated 12 August 2012.

Media Relations: Iselle Gonzalez, Sydney, Tel: +61 2 8256 0326, Email: 
iselle.gonzalez@fitchratings.com.

Additional information is available at www.fitchratings.com.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research: 

Corporate Rating Methodology: Including Short-Term Ratings and Parent and 
Subsidiary Linkage

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=715139

Rating Telecom Companies

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=682323

Additional Disclosure 

Solicitation Status 

http://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=822490

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Fitch Australia Pty Ltd holds an Australian financial services licence (AFS 
licence no. 337123) which authorises it to provide credit ratings to wholesale 
clients only. Credit ratings information published by Fitch is not intended to 
be used by persons who are retail clients within the meaning of the Corporations 
Act 2001.

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